So now everything is clear now, fog of war and lies has rescinded and naked truth was revealed and for many observers of the Syrian conflict it is apparently not a nice picture. Or is it?
First, in case you wondered what the hell was the US-Iran deal all about since Iran had no nukes to give up? As recently revealed that it was all about privatization of Iranian people’s national treasure namely oil reserves for frozen Shah money (ransom money) and the rest payable upon introduction of western oil giants into Iran. This whole deal was nothing but an attempt to put Iranian clerics on American leash. Did it work? Well time will tell but there are signs that somewhat it did.
Recent deal with Turkey and Iraq (and Russia???) about eradication of PKK was a supplement to it that and for all practical reasons seals fate of Syria as a unified country, namely Syria has been effectively partitioned into ethnic enclaves run but specific international sponsors [in case of Syrian Kurds it will be US like in Iraq where US sponsored Barzani mafia rules Iraqi Kurdistan], and just like it was in Lebanon in 1990-ties, while an illusion of unity government pretending to rule from Damascus after Assad is gone will be maintained.
I must say that gullibility of such a move of usual suspects facing US imperial evil is astonishing even by low standards rotten brains of Iranian clerics, sick Sultan of Ankara, or on some other days sane Putin. Or is it all hoax?
Second, As anyone who reads Syrian War Update and other direct sources knows that Russia in last months since the phony ceasefire, de facto, under unrelated geopolitical pressure, switched the political sides and reluctantly joined the US coalition [w/ Israel] via more or less abandoning the Assad regime politically if not entirely militarily yet, blackmailing desperate Assad to go along with anything including things that will soon lead to his demise as “all Syria” leader now enjoying 55% of popularity and having won two elections since 2011.
But none of that matters at all. It doesn’t matter that Assad has, more support than many top EU and US so-called democratic leaders, not to mention huge popularity of such “dictators” as Putin or Erdogan.
Does democracy requires majority support although it is not sufficient? Not in the west.
Sadly, in the same time many Russia’s apologists concoct fantastic scenarios how under Putin pressure, Erdogan, who after just invading Jarabulus area with 100 tanks and artillery an already loosing at least thirty soldiers fighting.. guess who? YPG Kurds armed with TOW from the US, allowing ISIL to withdraw largely unscathed, would reconcile with Assad who in turn would clam down on Kurds after he is helped by Turks to eliminate ISIL.
All that while US army directly and “independently” from Turkish army is raining MLRS over some abandoned ISIL Turkish border positions for PR.
Would Russians ever believe such a fantastic scenario? Highly unlikely.
Much more likely they are just interested in their own short sided goals in Syria with Assad or without him like in the period between 2011 and 2014, while watching closely their seriously threatened by US global interests, and believe me, if Russians buy again US-Turkish lies they will be fucked again like in was in Ukraine and Eastern Europe ridiculously whipped up in anti-Russian hysteria for war which made Russians pay, now so far monetarily [beefing up the military budged] not with their blood yet. And in the same way it goes for apparent disastrous ceasefire in February 2016 supposedly to prevent Turkish invasion. It did not.
Sadly today Russia, by acquiescing, if not supporting naked aggression of Turkey in Syria, no UN resolution, or open condemnations of that blatant illegal act, lost significant moral capital of her engagement in Syria what was her primary strength in this conflict as pointed out by Putin’s excellent UN speech in 2015 as only voice left for international law and order, and possibly stooped to a level of just another political toy in the US imperial hands.
What’s happening on the ground in Syria [loss of military strategic initiative since this phony ceasefire] and in wider geopolitical realm of escalation of global confrontation in Europe and Asia cannot be characterized in any other way as another Putin political and propaganda defeat.
And no illusion of a Turkish pivot to the East as a Russian “brilliant” move to draw Turkey out of US imperial hands, even peddled by some independent blogs can change that.
The Turkish coup was not instigated by Americans otherwise Erdogan would have been dead, it was his own political consolidation ploy to show he will not be dislodged and that he is ready to be an US killer again and will kill anyone he pleases friend and foes ‘du jour’ as any good US attack dog would do. If Putin believes that he can make a deal with the US or Turkey not from position of overwhelming power he is an idiot. I am sorry.
Such worries of loosing very important legal and moral superiority in the Syrian War have been expressed here on this blog six months ago:
“Vlad, they will not lift the sanction and forget about sailing on your yacht in Tuscany anytime soon, you are better than that, just keep, steady, do not let Russian superior political, military, legal and moral position to be tarnished by some half backed political maneuvers.
Do not even fake making deal with those medieval gangsters, it won’t work, western propaganda won’t ease, that’s the fact. Turkey won’t be controlled by the US, since she is already doing US bidding unless corrected by Russian forces on the ground and in the air. Politics of appeasement won’t work, as history teaches us, only steady gravitas and determination will do the job.
Vlad, you pumped natural gas to Kiev fascist regime for free in winter 2014/2015 for humanitarian reasons and transit to your western friends who spat in your face while they were slaughtering your kin in Donbass. And to add insult to injury Kiev regime never paid for it and now defaulted of your eurobonds with no consequences.
You do not have to be too friendly to US western stooges, who want you and your “friend” Assad dead.”
And one more thing, some voices start blaming YPG/PYD of being manipulated into their affair with US and just now betrayed, worsening their already desperate political position.
While Kurds are divided and definitely have to blame themselves for many political problems they face, in this case it is such an appalling and very unjust attitude to Kurds propagated even by so-called journalists or bloggers , that is simply factually wrong and politically baseless.
No. The Kurds, PYD, YPG are not the problem in Syria and they have never really been, since per old agreement with Turkey, Assad granted them controlled autonomy and in 2012 expanded the autonomy broadly [practically for a first time allowing them to rule themselves and Assad explicitly put them in charge of defending themselves from ANF and later ISIL], by withdrawing from Hasakah province massive SAA personnel and equipment to fight terrorists elsewhere while leaving practically a small detachments of a SAA protection force for Arab population of Hasakah province on their requests.
There was no fighting there between Kurds and SAA from 2011 until now as I recall. It was that way before the YPG/PYD leadership was corrupted/bribed by the US as Iraqi Barzani Clan was almost three decades ago, mostly with weapons, when they were the only force to effectively resist assaults of US terrorist proxies [ISIL+old converted moderates] while SAA was disintegrating and Assad survival was in question.
Kurds did not revolt against legitimate government of Syria, they did not become traitors of the Syrian secular state, and in anytime during the war until their incoherent utterances for western press about Rojava or something, they did their job of protection Kurds ethnic people from ISIL savages. Of course as all sides that entered the war, Kurds also have their although small share of atrocities against Arabs and Yazidis, mostly via neglect or exposing them to ISIL while saving ethnic Kurds which is called ethnic cleansing and discrimination and they must be hold responsible after the war, so Assad regime, Russia, Iran as well as whole murderous US coalition of evil including NATO.
Having said that Kurds have become overall victims of their corrupted leadership, vicious geopolitics deaf to Kurdish pleas to save them from being exterminated by Turkish regime, once again, Kurd fell for fake, switching alliances and false declarations of western support and empty gestures from Russians and even Iranians.
The fact is that Syrian Kurds did not break any international or internal state laws, and blaming them for the self-defense situation they have been forced into [not trying to realize some ridiculous dreams of independent state at this point] while ignoring true conniving culprit i.e. global geopolitics of lies and deceit and dealings with US imperial evil, is preposterous at minimum and what’s worse devoid of any merit.
The complex political situation of Kurds has been somewhat addressee in previous post:
“As they successfully did with KRG and Peshmerga, a Barzani Clan Militia in Iraq, the US became interested in taking over YPG and Syrian Kurdish leadership of PYD, in an attempt to corrupt/control them as well in order to calm down of some of Turkish well-founded fears about highly trained YPG under command of PYD sister party of PKK at Turkish borders.
Facing with annihilation just 18 months ago, YPG temporary and seemingly accepted the US air support in fighting ISIL, and tolerate some US boots on the ground, in Kurdish areas but this marriage of convenience cannot last and is politically so fragile that could be broken on a moment notice. And as soon as ISIL is substantially weaken or defeated, US Special Forces, illegally operating on Syrian soil, will quickly be forced out under any pretext of Syrian national sovereignty or something else.
Back then, in 1990-ties US provided the only possible protection against still strong Saddam Hussein army for the Iraqi-Kurdish forces under CIA control while now in Syria, Assad is much weaker and already conceded strong Kurdish autonomy and local self-rule, facing the fact of infeasibility of enforcement of his political reign over Kurds for many years after the war.
However, Assad demanded Syrian territorial integrity, and Damascus veto in the Syrian defense and international relations being respected by Kurds. Both sides are considering Turkey as being common enemy and a threat to their particular interests and both would do anything possible to find a compromise, with Turkey on a losing side. They have no illusions that, for global geopolitical reasons, the US ultimately will support Turkey and hence the PYD political/military embrace of US is treated as temporary and tactical measure.”
Another coalition collapses this time it is small American coalition US-YPG/PYD Kurds and some Arab desert thieves from Liwa al-Tahrir, called SDF. These small arab units were there for easing worries of Kurds/YPG taking over Arab majority lands west of Jerabulus.
Syrian War changing military alliances!!!
MSM silence !!!! Two Americans (US citizen) killed in Syria by Turkish army fighting among YPG;
SF recent developments and analysis.
Another blow to SAA. New terrorist ANF offensive south of Morek (Hama Province] captured and lost by SAA six months ago. Things are not going well for SAA since cease filed in February 2016
Warning 18+: Fighting in Hama;
SAA counterattacks in Hama;
Freed Hama city suburb districts;
Another ANF counterattack in Hama. SAA looses initiative
Here is filed military report regarding equipment destroyed during Hama fighting;
ANF precision weapons;
Renewed fighting in Daara province south of Damascus;
Ordeal of Yazidis women captured and enslaved by ISIL;
ACTUAL COMBAT monitored from SAA drone in the South Aleppo Military academy and Complex 1070 taken over by terrorists.
ANF is trying to reach East Aleppo along Complex 1070;
- Aleppo SAA advancing somewhat;
Recent frontline map S. Aleppo;
Artillery academy in SAA hands-partially; While corridor in S. Aleppo has been reistablished, the lifeline road for Aleppo has not been restored so far.
US army ready to annihilate all enemies;
Turkish Army took sides;
Turks artillery attacks ISIL? Over the border;
Turkey bombs YPG at Jarabulus, no bombing for ISIL brtothers
Enter Jarablus Turkmen “moderates” paid, equipped and trained by Turkish army ;
Who is fighting who? You tell me. This map is already outdated;
Truth about Turkey invasion;
Syrian TV 2
EuroNews about Turkish invasion in Syria;
“Liberated” Daraya, ANF left for IDLIB
Homs, ISIL counteroffensive;
Iraq suicide truck;
IRAQ militia in action.
Saudi successes in Yemen;
Yemeni Houties shows range missiles (Russian made) reached 450 miles from Yemeni Saudi border. They may attack Riyadh if the smuggle the missiles closer to the city.
Turkish War PKK attacks?
Protest against Turkish military build up at Kobani border area. No ISIL there;
Where all this US instigated global mess leads to? Here is an artist impression of how it is gonna end. Scenario of breakdown of the US after failed war with the East. Impossible? Or Required.
California Republic, Texan Free republic, North Atlantic Republic, and North Central republic all of them with certain degree of foreign dependency, Alaska goes to Russian and Hawaii to China.
Cheap vacation in Western Syria; for every dollar you spend there $10 goes to fighting ISIL/ANF terrorists. I call socially aware travel. While when you buy gas for your truck in the US or US for every dollar you spend $10 goes to ISIL/ANF terrorists. Just think. We can stop this war.
Mr. President, lower yourself by using this palm tree.